Example response
The response this call returned, captured 2026-10-07 12:44:45 UTC.
{
"portal": {
"provenance": "third-party-supplier",
"serviceId": "pmic-macro-signals",
"schemaCheck": "passed"
},
"data": {
"service": "pmic-macro-signals",
"pack_version": "0.5.1",
"vertical": "inflation",
"title": "US inflation pulse",
"question": "Is inflation pressure building or easing?",
"entity": null,
"horizon": "90d",
"status": "ok",
"score": 59,
"label": "steady",
"previous_score": 56,
"change": -1,
"trend": "steady",
"trend_basis": "score_history",
"summary": "US inflation pulse: 59/100, steady, steady over 90 days (from 56). Strongest input: Average hourly earnings, private (SA) at 100; weakest: Import price index, all commodities at 0. Based on 6 of 6 inputs; the inputs disagree, so read the drivers.",
"scale": {
"high": "60+ = easing",
"mid": "41-59 = steady",
"low": "40 or less = building",
"note": "Higher score means less inflation pressure than usual (all inputs read higher = more inflation = weaker)."
},
"drivers": [
{
"series_id": "fred:IR",
"label": "Import price index, all commodities",
"score": 0,
"summary": "Import price index, all commodities (us) was 150.8 index as of 2026-08-01, up 0.7% over 30 days. Its year-over-year change is 6.95%. That year-over-year change sits at the 100th percentile of the trailing window (z +1.50, 11 points). Scored 0/100 in this brief (a lower reading scores higher here). Source FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; freshness 100/100.",
"citation_url": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IR"
},
{
"series_id": "bls:CES0500000003",
"label": "Average hourly earnings, private (SA)",
"score": 100,
"summary": "Average hourly earnings, private (SA) (us) was 37.81 usd as of 2026-09-01, up 0.1% over 30 days. Its year-over-year change is 3.02%. That year-over-year change sits at the 0th percentile of the trailing window (z -1.98, 12 points). Scored 100/100 in this brief (a lower reading scores higher here). Source U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Public Data API; freshness 100/100.",
"citation_url": "https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CES0500000003"
},
{
"series_id": "fred:CPILFESL",
"label": "Core CPI, less food and energy (SA)",
"score": 94,
"summary": "Core CPI, less food and energy (SA) (us) was 337.8 index as of 2026-08-01, up 0.3% over 30 days. Its year-over-year change is 2.45%. That year-over-year change sits at the 0th percentile of the trailing window (z -1.11, 11 points). Composite 94/100 (higher reads weaker, so the score is inverted). Source FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; freshness 100/100.",
"citation_url": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPILFESL"
}
],
"risk_flags": [
"mixed_signals",
"extreme_level"
],
"confidence": {
"score": 93,
"label": "high"
},
"coverage": {
"scored": 6,
"inputs": 6,
"weight_share": 1
},
"inputs": [
{
"series_id": "fred:CPIAUCSL",
"label": "CPI, all items (SA)",
"entity_id": "us",
"weight": 2,
"direction": -1,
"value": {
"current": 334.131,
"unit": "index",
"as_of": "2026-08-01",
"transformed": 3.353
},
"changes_pct": {
"7d": null,
"30d": 0.396,
"90d": 0.0455,
"365d": 3.353
},
"hub_trend": "flat",
"confidence": {
"score": 94,
"label": "high"
},
"risk_flags": [
"single_source"
],
"summary": "CPI, all items (SA) (us) was 334.1 index as of 2026-08-01, up 0.4% over 30 days. Its year-over-year change is 3.35%. That year-over-year change sits at the 73rd percentile of the trailing window (z +0.45, 11 points). Composite 51/100 (higher reads weaker, so the score is inverted). Source FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; freshness 100/100.",
"citation_url": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAUCSL",
"source": "fred",
"role": "input",
"scoring": "hub_composite",
"score": 51,
"previous_score": 78
},
{
"series_id": "fred:CPILFESL",
"label": "Core CPI, less food and energy (SA)",
"entity_id": "us",
"weight": 2,
"direction": -1,
"value": {
"current": 337.765,
"unit": "index",
"as_of": "2026-08-01",
"transformed": 2.4462
},
"changes_pct": {
"7d": null,
"30d": 0.2898,
"90d": 0.4891,
"365d": 2.4462
},
"hub_trend": "flat",
"confidence": {
"score": 94,
"label": "high"
},
"risk_flags": [
"extreme_level",
"single_source"
],
"summary": "Core CPI, less food and energy (SA) (us) was 337.8 index as of 2026-08-01, up 0.3% over 30 days. Its year-over-year change is 2.45%. That year-over-year change sits at the 0th percentile of the trailing window (z -1.11, 11 points). Composite 94/100 (higher reads weaker, so the score is inverted). Source FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; freshness 100/100.",
"citation_url": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPILFESL",
"source": "fred",
"role": "input",
"scoring": "hub_composite",
"score": 94,
"previous_score": 84
},
{
"series_id": "bls:WPUFD4",
"label": "PPI, final demand",
"entity_id": "us",
"weight": 1,
"direction": -1,
"value": {
"current": 157.604,
"unit": "index",
"as_of": "2026-08-01",
"transformed": 5.4447
},
"changes_pct": {
"7d": null,
"30d": 0.2857,
"90d": 0.2513,
"365d": 5.4447
},
"hub_trend": "up",
"confidence": {
"score": 89,
"label": "high"
},
"risk_flags": [
"preliminary_value",
"single_source"
],
"summary": "PPI, final demand (us) was 157.6 index as of 2026-08-01, up 0.3% over 30 days. Its year-over-year change is 5.44%. That year-over-year change sits at the 75th percentile of the trailing window (z +1.20, 12 points). Composite 44/100 (higher reads weaker, so the score is inverted). Source U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Public Data API; freshness 100/100.",
"citation_url": "https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/WPUFD4",
"source": "bls",
"role": "input",
"scoring": "hub_composite",
"score": 44,
"previous_score": null
},
{
"series_id": "fred:PPIACO",
"label": "PPI, all commodities",
"entity_id": "us",
"weight": 1,
"direction": -1,
"value": {
"current": 287.928,
"unit": "index",
"as_of": "2026-08-01",
"transformed": 9.8501
},
"changes_pct": {
"7d": null,
"30d": 0.9632,
"90d": -0.7829,
"365d": 9.8501
},
"hub_trend": "up",
"confidence": {
"score": 96,
"label": "high"
},
"risk_flags": [
"single_source"
],
"summary": "PPI, all commodities (us) was 287.9 index as of 2026-08-01, up 1.0% over 30 days. Its year-over-year change is 9.85%. That year-over-year change sits at the 92nd percentile of the trailing window (z +1.19, 12 points). Composite 40/100 (higher reads weaker, so the score is inverted). Source FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; freshness 100/100.",
"citation_url": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PPIACO",
"source": "fred",
"role": "input",
"scoring": "hub_composite",
"score": 40,
"previous_score": 11
},
{
"series_id": "fred:IR",
"label": "Import price index, all commodities",
"entity_id": "us",
"weight": 1,
"direction": -1,
"value": {
"current": 150.8,
"unit": "index",
"as_of": "2026-08-01",
"transformed": 6.9504
},
"changes_pct": {
"7d": null,
"30d": 0.6676,
"90d": 0.0664,
"365d": 6.9504
},
"hub_trend": "up",
"confidence": {
"score": 94,
"label": "high"
},
"risk_flags": [
"extreme_level",
"single_source"
],
"summary": "Import price index, all commodities (us) was 150.8 index as of 2026-08-01, up 0.7% over 30 days. Its year-over-year change is 6.95%. That year-over-year change sits at the 100th percentile of the trailing window (z +1.50, 11 points). Scored 0/100 in this brief (a lower reading scores higher here). Source FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; freshness 100/100.",
"citation_url": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IR",
"source": "fred",
"role": "input",
"scoring": "percentile_inverted",
"score": 0,
"previous_score": 0
},
{
"series_id": "bls:CES0500000003",
"label": "Average hourly earnings, private (SA)",
"entity_id": "us",
"weight": 1,
"direction": -1,
"value": {
"current": 37.81,
"unit": "usd",
"as_of": "2026-09-01",
"transformed": 3.0245
},
"changes_pct": {
"7d": null,
"30d": 0.1324,
"90d": 0.5853,
"365d": 3.0245
},
"hub_trend": "down",
"confidence": {
"score": 89,
"label": "high"
},
"risk_flags": [
"preliminary_value",
"extreme_level",
"single_source"
],
"summary": "Average hourly earnings, private (SA) (us) was 37.81 usd as of 2026-09-01, up 0.1% over 30 days. Its year-over-year change is 3.02%. That year-over-year change sits at the 0th percentile of the trailing window (z -1.98, 12 points). Scored 100/100 in this brief (a lower reading scores higher here). Source U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Public Data API; freshness 100/100.",
"citation_url": "https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CES0500000003",
"source": "bls",
"role": "input",
"scoring": "percentile_inverted",
"score": 100,
"previous_score": null
}
],
"watch": [],
"citations": [
{
"series_id": "fred:CPIAUCSL",
"label": "CPI, all items (SA)",
"as_of": "2026-08-01",
"url": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAUCSL",
"source": "fred"
},
{
"series_id": "fred:CPILFESL",
"label": "Core CPI, less food and energy (SA)",
"as_of": "2026-08-01",
"url": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPILFESL",
"source": "fred"
},
{
"series_id": "bls:WPUFD4",
"label": "PPI, final demand",
"as_of": "2026-08-01",
"url": "https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/WPUFD4",
"source": "bls"
},
{
"series_id": "fred:PPIACO",
"label": "PPI, all commodities",
"as_of": "2026-08-01",
"url": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PPIACO",
"source": "fred"
},
{
"series_id": "fred:IR",
"label": "Import price index, all commodities",
"as_of": "2026-08-01",
"url": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IR",
"source": "fred"
},
{
"series_id": "bls:CES0500000003",
"label": "Average hourly earnings, private (SA)",
"as_of": "2026-09-01",
"url": "https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CES0500000003",
"source": "bls"
}
],
"method": {
"version": "pmic-vertical/1.0",
"docs": "https://github.com/organiccryptoyyc/pocket-agentic-services/blob/main/pmic/packs/README.md"
}
}
}